A care worker helping two older residents with an activity at a table
Workforce & careers

Why care workers stay: what the 2026 workforce report tells employers

By Dr. Stewart Wilson ·

Skills for Care's 2026 report shows care worker turnover can halve. What the data says about keeping good care staff, and what to change first.

By the numbers

Measure (England, 2025/26)FigureContext
Filled posts1.59 millionUp 1.4%, the slowest growth in four years
Vacancies96,000 (6.2%)Back to pre-pandemic levels; 123,000 in 2023/24
New international recruits30,000Down from 105,000 in 2023/24 and 50,000 in 2024/25
Posts filled by British workers67%85% in 2020/21; 130,000 fewer British workers since then
Care worker turnover with all five retention factors15.3%34.3% without them
Turnover among staff in their first year in role33.7%12.6% for those with 20 or more years
Extra posts needed by 2040410,000The population aged 90 and over is set to rise 79%

Source: Skills for Care, The state of the adult social care sector and workforce in England, 2026. Turnover figures cover care workers in the independent sector.

Every October, Skills for Care publishes the most detailed picture we have of the adult social care workforce in England. This year's report, The state of the adult social care sector and workforce in England, carries one finding every registered manager should pin above their desk: care worker turnover falls from 34.3% to 15.3% when employers get the fundamentals right together.

That is not a marginal gain. In a service with 40 care workers, it is the difference between replacing 14 people a year and replacing six.

The headline numbers

Vacancies are back to pre-pandemic levels. That sounds like good news, and partly it is, but the detail is more sobering:

  • Filled posts grew by just 1.4% in the year to March 2026, the slowest growth in four years.
  • International recruitment has fallen by more than 70% in two years, and there are fewer British workers in the sector.
  • Only 7% of the workforce is under 25, against 12% of the wider working population, and turnover among under-25s runs at 35.5%.
  • Just 37% of care and support workers hold a Level 2 qualification or above, down from 48% in 2018/19.
  • Non-nursing staff carry out delegated healthcare activities in 59% of the CQC-regulated services that answered the question.

The pipeline of new staff is narrowing, qualification levels are falling, and the work itself is becoming more clinical. Retention is no longer a nice-to-have. It is the strategy.

Care worker turnover with and without the five retention factors
Without them
34.3%
With all five
15.3%

Source: Skills for Care, 2026

What actually keeps people

The report is clear that no single lever works on its own. The steep fall in turnover comes when employers combine five things:

  1. Pay at or above the local average rate
  2. Guaranteed hours
  3. Full-time work
  4. Training
  5. A relevant qualification

Leadership matters on top of these. Care worker turnover falls from 28.3% to 20.6% as registered manager experience increases. Experienced managers keep teams together, which makes your registered manager's development, and their own retention, a direct investment in frontline stability.

New international recruits a year, England
2023/24
105,000
2024/25
50,000
2025/26
30,000

Source: Skills for Care, 2026

Why training sits at the centre

In my experience, training does three jobs at once. It makes care safer. It tells staff they are worth investing in. And it gives them a visible route forward, which matters most to the under-25s the sector is losing fastest.

The drop in Level 2 qualifications is the figure that concerns me most. A care worker giving insulin, managing a PEG feed or spotting early sepsis needs more than a one-hour induction video. When staff feel underprepared for the work in front of them, they leave, and often they leave care altogether. Our article on delegated healthcare activities looks at that gap in detail.

Five things to do this quarter

  1. Map your turnover by length of service. If people leave in their first few months, look at induction and shadowing before anything else.
  2. Offer guaranteed hours where you can. Even a guaranteed minimum for core staff signals security.
  3. Put every new starter on the Care Certificate, then on a Level 2 route, and show them the next step on day one.
  4. Invest in your registered manager. Leadership development is a retention tool, not a perk.
  5. Match training to the delegated tasks staff actually do. If your team handles delegated healthcare activities, their training must cover them.

What this means for the next five years

The sector cannot rely on international recruitment to fill the gap any more. The services that thrive over the next five years will be the ones people want to stay in, and the evidence shows how to build them.

Sources

About the author

Dr. Stewart Wilson

Stewart is Complete Care Training's CEO. A Doctor of Chiropractic and the owner of four care companies, he writes about what the latest policy and evidence mean on the care floor.